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Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters: Analysis and Forecast of the IPCC Summary .   The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recently issued a summary of its forthcoming report “Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation”.   The summary reports that in recent decades the number and severity of extreme weather and extreme climatic events have increased, as determined reliably.   It projects that without imposing world-wide policies intended to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and limit the rise of world-wide temperatures, such events will grow even more.   These include higher extremes of temperature, changes in precipitation patterns including increasingly severe reainfall, drought, and coastal flooding.   The effects on human society around the globe will be significantly impacted, for example in water resources, food security, forestry, health and tourism. We conclude that the nations ...

Worldwide Emissions of CO2: Background for the Durban Conference

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Summary .   Energy use by developing countries of the world increased dramatically between 1972 and 2008.   During this period energy use by the developed countries increased at a far lower rate.   The U. S. Energy Information Agency (EIA) and the International Energy Agency (IEA), in recent reports, project energy use by developing countries to continue to grow at very high rates through 2035, while use by the developed countries is projected to grow much more weakly, in the absence of new climate policies to limit energy use.   In an IEA scenario intended to keep atmospheric CO 2 concentration below 450 parts per million, most CO 2 emission is committed due to facilities already in service; only the few facilities to be placed in service are available to mitigate CO 2 emission.   The IEA warns that effective policies to limit energy use and CO 2 emission should be operating by 2017 in order to avoid emergency expenditures on a much larger scale for infras...

The Annual U. N. Climate Change Conference in Durban, South Africa

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Summary .   The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change will convene its next conference at Durban , South Africa from November 28 to December 9, 2011 .   The conference will consider topics contained in the Cancun Agreements from last year’s meeting.   These include mitigation of global warming, adaptation to harmful effects arising from global warming, reducing emissions by slowing or reversing deforestation, codifying the trustworthiness of emissions data, and establishing funding to help developing countries implement mitigation and adaptation measures. It is predicted that the world will continue to emit increasing amounts of carbon dioxide, a major greenhouse gas, by burning fossil fuels, in the absence of policies that limit these emissions.   Increased atmospheric carbon dioxide will exacerbate global warming and its harmful effects.   Most of the increasing emissions rate originates from developing, rather than from developed, countries. ...